FAQ
Why is the real_counter higher than XTracker?
Section titled “Why is the real_counter higher than XTracker?”Two reasons:
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Speed: Polystrike queries Twitter every 60 seconds. XTracker updates every ~5 minutes. So at any given moment, we’ve likely caught new tweets that XTracker hasn’t processed yet.
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Deleted tweets: If Elon posts and then deletes a tweet, our system captures it within seconds. If XTracker’s next update runs after the deletion, it never sees that tweet — but it still counts if it existed during the window.
The settlement_delta field tells you exactly how large this gap is.
Does is_counted track the same rules as Polymarket?
Section titled “Does is_counted track the same rules as Polymarket?”Yes. The classification is based on the public settlement rules:
- Main feed posts → counted
- Quote posts → counted
- Reposts (retweets) → counted
- Main-feed replies → counted
- Regular replies → not counted
- Community reposts → not counted
is_counted is a Pro-only field. Free tier returns null.
Why does display_delta go negative sometimes?
Section titled “Why does display_delta go negative sometimes?”The Polymarket UI sometimes over-counts — it shows a number higher than the real count. This can happen when the UI picks up a tweet that later gets deleted or that our system doesn’t classify as counted.
A negative display_delta means the UI is ahead of our real count. This is unusual but not impossible.
When are predictions most reliable?
Section titled “When are predictions most reliable?”The Monte Carlo model is most reliable in the final 16 hours of an event. At that point, the count trajectory and velocity are well established.
Early in an event (more than 36 hours remaining), predictions tend to overestimate by 15-20% because the model extrapolates current velocity too aggressively before sleep patterns emerge.
What does sleep_probability mean?
Section titled “What does sleep_probability mean?”Elon Musk is based in Texas (CT timezone). His sleep schedule is fairly consistent — there are specific overnight hours when his tweet velocity drops to near-zero.
The sleep_probability field gives the current probability that he’s asleep right now, based on historical patterns. When this is high, the velocity model reduces its projection accordingly.
How do I get a Pro API key?
Section titled “How do I get a Pro API key?”Contact via Telegram (@dizpers) or X (@dizpers). Pro is $79/month and includes predictions, signals, is_counted classification, and full tweet history.
What is x402 authentication?
Section titled “What is x402 authentication?”x402 is a micropayment protocol for AI agents. Instead of a monthly subscription, agents can pay per-request using an x402 header. This is designed for autonomous agents that need to call the API without a pre-arranged subscription. Contact us for details.