⚡ PolyStrike
Live on Polymarket

Intelligence Layer
for Prediction Markets

Real-time oracle tracking, Monte Carlo forecasts, and EV-based trading signals for Polymarket. Available via API, MCP, and x402 micropayments.

Start Trading Smarter See How It Works

For human traders ($79/mo) and AI agents (pay-per-request via x402). API-first.

60s
Data refresh cycle
5min
Oracle update interval
3
Independent delta signals
1,000
Monte Carlo simulations

How It Works

Polystrike is an oracle intelligence layer. We sit between Twitter and Polymarket, catching what the platform misses.

01

Polymarket shows the wrong number

The tweet counter on Polymarket frequently freezes or falls behind. The settlement oracle only refreshes every 5 minutes. Most traders are pricing their bets on stale data and don't know it.

The counter you see is not the counter that settles the market.

02

We see the real count first

Polystrike checks Twitter every 60 seconds and classifies each tweet against the exact settlement rules. We also capture deleted tweets before they vanish. The result: we know the true number before anyone else.

5x faster than the settlement oracle. Catches tweets the oracle never sees.

03

You trade the gap

When the market thinks the count is 240 but we know it's 248, that's an 8-tweet gap. Traders holding the 240-259 bucket don't realize it's about to bust. You do.

Three independent gap signals. Each one is a different trading edge.

Your Edge, Quantified

Not a counter. Not a dashboard. A 10-gate quant signal pipeline with Monte Carlo simulation and Kelly-sized position recommendations.

🎯

Faster Than the Oracle

We check Twitter every 60 seconds. The settlement oracle updates every 5 minutes. You see the real count before the market does — and before other traders can react.

👻

Deleted Tweets Captured

Elon deletes tweets. If we capture them before they vanish, they still count toward settlement. The oracle never sees them. You do.

⚖️

Smart Tweet Classification

Not every Elon tweet counts toward settlement. The rules are complex: some replies count, others don't. Community reposts don't. We classify every tweet against the exact settlement rules in real time.

📊

Three Independent Lag Signals

We track the gap between the real count and the oracle, the real count and the UI, and the UI and the oracle. Each gap is a different trading opportunity.

🧠

Bucket Probability Forecasts

1,000 Monte Carlo simulations per event tell you which tweet count bucket is most likely to win. The model knows when Elon sleeps, so it doesn't overcount overnight.

🤖

Built for Bots and Humans

Clean JSON API that works for trading bots, AI agents, and humans with a curl command. Pay per request or subscribe monthly — your choice.

API Endpoints

HTTP JSON APIs. No WebSocket required for most use cases. All responses include timestamps and are designed for LLM consumption.

GET /api/v1/meta/elon Free

Live tweet counts (real, oracle, UI), all three lag signals, hours remaining in current event

GET /api/v1/meta/elon/tweets Free (15) / Pro (all)

Full tweet feed with settlement classification, deleted tweet flags, and referenced content

GET /api/v1/prediction/elon Pro

Which bucket will win? Probability forecasts from 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations

GET /api/v1/signals/elon Pro (coming soon)

Automated buy/sell signals with expected value and optimal bet sizing

Full API reference at polystrike.xyz/SKILL.md

Pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you need predictions and signals.

Free
$0

See the data. No API key needed.

  • ✓ Real tweet count vs. oracle vs. UI count
  • ✓ Three lag signals updated every minute
  • ✓ Last 15 tweets with classification
  • ✓ 100 requests per hour
Try It Now
Full Access
Pro
$79 /mo

Full data, predictions, and signals.

  • ✓ Everything in Free
  • ✓ Complete tweet archive (not just last 15)
  • ✓ Full classification + deleted tweet flags
  • ✓ Monte Carlo bucket probability forecasts
  • ✓ Automated trading signals (coming soon)
  • ✓ 10,000 requests per hour
  • ✓ Pay with card or USDC
Get Pro Access
AI Agent
$0.01 /call

Pay per request. No subscription needed.

  • ✓ Same data as Free tier
  • ✓ USDC micropayments via x402
  • ✓ No API key to manage
  • ✓ Machine-readable docs
  • ✓ Built for autonomous bots
Read the Docs
🤖 For AI Agents

Built for Autonomous Agents

Your agent can discover Polystrike, understand the API, and start trading — without human intervention. Structured JSON responses. Machine-readable docs. Pay-per-call via x402.

1. Discover the API:

curl https://polystrike.xyz/SKILL.md

2. Get market state (free, no auth):

curl https://polystrike.xyz/api/v1/meta/elon

3. Get predictions (Pro key required):

curl -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY" \
  https://polystrike.xyz/api/v1/prediction/elon

Full API reference and integration examples at polystrike.xyz/SKILL.md

Roadmap

Polystrike is vertical intelligence for specific market types. Same approach — real-world data feeds, oracle delta tracking, model-ready APIs — applied to new verticals.

Live

Elon Tweet Markets

Real-time tweet counting, smart classification, deleted tweet capture, lag detection, and Monte Carlo predictions. Fully operational.

Building

Trading Signals

Automated buy/sell signals based on expected value, optimal bet sizing, and real-time lag detection. Coming soon for Pro subscribers.

Next

Weather Markets

Applying the same oracle-intelligence approach to weather resolution markets on Polymarket.

Next

Crypto 5/15min Markets

Short-duration crypto price markets. High-frequency opportunities with the same data-edge methodology.

Get Your API Key

Tell us what you're building. We'll set you up with Pro access.