POLYSTRIKE

All open tweet markets · free feed, delayed 30 min · refresh 30s

Tweet market counters

Real count vs XTracker vs UI — side by side.

These are the tweet market counters (free feed, delayed 30 minutes) for every active Polymarket tweet-count market — Elon Musk and Ted Cruz — with the market countdown and three oracle readings laid out next to each other. The real-world count, Polymarket's XTracker oracle, and Polymarket's UI display rarely agree to the post; this page makes each number visible so you can see the gap, 30 minutes behind live. The undelayed feed is the Data tier. Data refreshes every 30 seconds; the countdowns tick client-side. Hover any counter's i for what it means.

Elon Musk tweet counter → Ted Cruz post counter
Active markets28·09·26
6
Elon markets4
Cruz markets2
Refresh30s

One card per market — real / xtracker / ui, with the countdown and a live poll

Elon Musk

FIG. 01 · 4 ACTIVE MARKETS

@elonmusk · Trading

Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

0D · 14H · 36M · 30S
42
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
42
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
42
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

4D · 14H · 36M · 30S
69
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
69
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
69
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

1D · 14H · 36M · 30S
140
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
140
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
140
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

3D · 02H · 36M · 30S
786
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
0
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
774
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

The real count can lead the two Polymarket oracles here by a few posts — a display and settlement lag, not a proven mispricing. The book usually prices off XTracker, so a UI-only gap is not an edge. We show all three so you can read the lag yourself.

Open the live Elon Musk tweet counter →

Ted Cruz

FIG. 02 · 2 ACTIVE MARKETS

@tedcruz · Watching

Ted Cruz # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

4D · 14H · 36M · 30S
13
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
13
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
13
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

1D · 14H · 36M · 30S
69
Real Our own count — we poll X every second for @elonmusk and every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts, deduped and window-scoped. Measured median from post to count: 11.5s. The ground truth we check the oracles against.
Polystrike
69
XTracker Polymarket's settlement oracle — the count the market actually pays out on. It samples roughly every 5 minutes.
oracle
69
UI The number on Polymarket's own event page. It can lag the oracle by minutes — a display value, not settlement.
Polymarket

Cruz posts far less than Elon, so the counts are small and the market stays thin — we watch it but don't trade it. The three oracles track close on low volume; a single delayed post is enough to open a one-count gap.

Open the Ted Cruz post counter →

Reading the three counters

FIG. 03 — REAL · XTRACKER · UI
01

Real count

Our own poll of X for the account — every second for @elonmusk, every 5 seconds for the rest — deduped and window-scoped, with a measured 11.5s median from post to count. The ground truth we compare the oracles against.

02

XTracker

Polymarket's algorithmic tracker, the oracle the market settles on. When our real count and XTracker diverge, one of them is lagging.

03

UI counter

The number Polymarket shows on the event page. It can trail XTracker by minutes — a UI gap alone is display lag, not settlement.

For a single account's full count history and counting rules, open the live Elon Musk tweet counter or the Ted Cruz post counter. Settled markets and their final oracle readings are logged in the tweet market history.