Polymarket tweet-count market history — Elon Musk & Ted Cruz counts

Most windows barely drift — the tallest bar is the 5–9 bucket. But a handful of windows saw the displayed number fall dozens of posts behind the real count. That gap is a UI-staleness measurement, not a settlement error: markets still resolved on the oracle. We publish the ugly windows too.

Every one of the 140 resolved markets we tracked, newest first — market titles link to Polymarket, rows tagged by person. Final counts are our own measured totals; peak UI lag is flagged red when the displayed number drifted far from the real count. Cross-reference against the Elon Musk tweet counter and the Ted Cruz post counter, both live now.

We record peak UI lag so traders can see when the displayed price was working off a stale count. It is never a claim that the market mis-settled: Polymarket resolves on the XTracker oracle, which we don't republish here. 12 windows carry no lag measurement (monthly markets and a few early rows) and are excluded from the distribution. Want the raw numbers? Pull them from the free API, or read how these markets work and resolve for the full methodology.