Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 278 tweets from November 3–10, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.973 (97.3¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 278 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 260-279 |
| Final YES price | $0.973 |
| Max page lag | 41 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 340 · high 395 · low 278 · -36 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 3–10, 2026 this market | 278 | 260-279 | -36 |
| October 30 – November 6, 2026 | 314 | 300-319 | -81 |
| October 27 – November 3, 2026 | 395 | 380-399 | +3 |
| October 23–30, 2026 | 392 | 380-399 | +53 |
| October 20–27, 2026 | 339 | 320-339 | +60 |
| October 16–23, 2026 | 279 | 260-279 | -58 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 337 | 320-339 | -14 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 351 | 340-359 | -20 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 371 | 360-379 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of November 3, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 278 tweets from November 3–10, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for November 3–10, 2026?
The 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.973 (97.3¢ implied), and the settlement count of 278 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.