Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 392 tweets from October 23–30, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 380-399 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 392 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 380-399 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 19 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 316 · high 392 · low 212 · +53 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 23–30, 2026 this market | 392 | 380-399 | +53 |
| October 20–27, 2026 | 339 | 320-339 | +60 |
| October 16–23, 2026 | 279 | 260-279 | -58 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 337 | 320-339 | -14 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 351 | 340-359 | -20 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 371 | 360-379 | +36 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 335 | 320-339 | +123 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 212 | 200-219 | -12 |
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 | 224 | 220-239 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of October 23, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 392 tweets from October 23–30, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 23–30, 2026?
The 380-399 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 392 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.