Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 279 tweets from October 16–23, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.989 (98.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 279 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 260-279 |
| Final YES price | $0.989 |
| Max page lag | 26 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 277 · high 371 · low 182 · -58 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 16–23, 2026 this market | 279 | 260-279 | -58 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 337 | 320-339 | -14 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 351 | 340-359 | -20 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 371 | 360-379 | +36 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 335 | 320-339 | +123 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 212 | 200-219 | -12 |
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 | 224 | 220-239 | +42 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 182 | 180-199 | -22 |
| September 18–25, 2026 | 204 | 200-219 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of October 16, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 279 tweets from October 16–23, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 16–23, 2026?
The 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.989 (98.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 279 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.