Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 204 tweets from September 18–25, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 200-219 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 204 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 200-219 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 8 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 202 · high 228 · low 175 · -23 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 18–25, 2026 this market | 204 | 200-219 | -23 |
| September 15–22, 2026 | 227 | 220-239 | +20 |
| September 11–18, 2026 | 207 | 200-219 | +17 |
| September 8–15, 2026 | 190 | 180-199 | +11 |
| September 4–11, 2026 | 179 | 160-179 | -34 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 213 | 200-219 | -15 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 228 | 220-239 | +53 |
| August 25 – September 1, 2026 | 175 | 160-179 | -17 |
| August 21–28, 2026 | 192 | 180-199 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of September 18, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 204 tweets from September 18–25, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 18–25, 2026?
The 200-219 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 204 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.