Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 179 tweets from September 4–11, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 160-179 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.992 (99.2¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 179 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 160-179 |
| Final YES price | $0.992 |
| Max page lag | 25 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 212 · high 326 · low 160 · -34 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 4–11, 2026 this market | 179 | 160-179 | -34 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 213 | 200-219 | -15 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 228 | 220-239 | +53 |
| August 25 – September 1, 2026 | 175 | 160-179 | -17 |
| August 21–28, 2026 | 192 | 180-199 | -134 |
| August 18–25, 2026 | 326 | 320-339 | +74 |
| August 14–21, 2026 | 252 | 240-259 | +92 |
| August 11–18, 2026 | 160 | 160-179 | -25 |
| August 7–14, 2026 | 185 | 180-199 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of September 4, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 179 tweets from September 4–11, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 4–11, 2026?
The 160-179 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.992 (99.2¢ implied), and the settlement count of 179 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.