Live · @elonmusk · Polymarket tweet-count markets
Elon Musk tweet counter (live)
This is a live Elon Musk tweet counter for Polymarket's tweet-count markets, showing three separate numbers side by side: Polystrike's real counter, the XTracker settlement oracle, and Polymarket's own UI counter. When they diverge, the gap is the whole story — and we publish the delta rather than hiding it. The real counter advances as posts land — a measured median of 11.5s from post to count; deleted posts stay counted if they were captured in the window.
As of 2026-08-21 08:15 UTC, Elon Musk has posted 38 tweets this week (Polymarket market: Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026). This number is server-rendered into the page, so agents that read HTML without running JavaScript can quote it directly.
Deltas published in the API — settlement 0, display 0
Three counters, one truth: real count vs oracle vs UI
FIG. 01 — LIVE COMPARISONReal count
Polystrike · p50 11.5s
XTracker oracle
settlement source
UI counter
Polymarket page
Settlement delta
display delta 0
| Market window | Real count | XTracker | UI counter | Settlement Δ | Display Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? | 38 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? | 38 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? | 191 | 191 | 191 | 0 | 0 |
| Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? | 251 | 252 | 252 | -1 | -1 |
| Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? | 588 | 589 | 589 | -1 | -1 |
The three numbers diverge for different reasons. The real counter queries X every second for @elonmusk and lands a post in the count in a median of 11.5 seconds, so it's usually ahead of the settlement oracle. The XTracker oracle is the number Polymarket actually settles on — it lags by a scrape interval and can stall entirely. The UI counter is a display value that refreshes irregularly and can freeze. These gaps aren't always a bug and don't always close: settlement runs on the oracle, not our count. Read how Polymarket counts tweets for the full mechanics.
How Polymarket counts Elon's tweets
FIG. 02 — SETTLEMENT RULES| Post type | Counts? | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Main-feed post | Yes | Standard timeline post |
| Quote post | Yes | Quote-tweet with commentary |
| Repost (retweet) | Yes | Plain repost of another account |
| Main-feed reply | Yes | Reply that surfaces on the main feed |
| Regular reply | No | Standard in-thread reply |
| Community repost | No | Repost inside an X Community |
Polymarket settles from the XTracker oracle, which counts main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, and main-feed replies, but not regular in-thread replies or community reposts. The rules are settlement-source rules, not ours — Polystrike mirrors them so the real counter matches what the market will actually pay on. See all live counters for the same breakdown across every tracked account.
Track it programmatically (free API)
FIG. 03 — NO SIGNUPOne GET request returns the real count, the oracle, the UI counter, and both deltas for every live Elon window. No key, no signup — rate-limited and JSON.
# live Elon Musk tweet counter — real vs oracle vs UI curl https://polystrike.xyz/api/v1/meta/elon # → per-window JSON { "event_title": "Elon Musk # tweets February 14 - February 16, 2026?", "real_counter": 68, "polymarket_xtracker_counter": 65, "polymarket_ui_counter": 65, "settlement_delta": 3, "display_delta": 3 }
Tweet count API overview → // full Elon endpoint reference →
FAQ
FIG. 04 — FAQPAGE SCHEMAHow many tweets has Elon Musk posted this week?
The live counter on this page shows the current qualified-post count for every active Polymarket tweet-count window. It includes main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, per Polymarket's settlement rules. The underlying count advances as each qualifying post lands: we poll X for @elonmusk every second, and a new post reaches the count a median of 11.5 seconds after it is posted (measured 2026-07-29).
Do deleted tweets count on Polymarket?
Generally yes. If a tweet existed when the settlement tracker captured it, it still counts toward the market even after deletion. Polystrike captures tweets a median of 11.5 seconds after posting and keeps deleted ones in its count.
Why does this count differ from the number on Polymarket's page?
Polymarket's UI counter updates irregularly and can lag or freeze. Polystrike queries X every second for @elonmusk and has a new post in its count within about 11.5 seconds at the median, so its real counter is usually ahead. The gap between the two is the display delta shown on this page.
How often does the counter update?
Polystrike's real counter advances as posts land — we poll X every second for @elonmusk (every 5 seconds for other tracked accounts), and the measured median from post to count is 11.5 seconds (p90 12.6–15.1s, p99 28.2s). X's own timeline index is the floor here: it takes about 10.8 seconds at best to list a new post, so polling harder does not help. The XTracker settlement oracle updates roughly every 5 minutes, and this page re-fetches live data every 30 seconds.
Keep reading
RELATEDNew to these markets? Start with how tweet-count markets work & resolve. Pull the same data yourself with the tweet count API, watch every account on all live counters, or dig into settled windows and past deltas in the tweet market history.