Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 224 tweets from September 25 – October 2, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 220-239 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 224 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 220-239 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 223 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 206 · high 228 · low 179 · +42 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 this market | 224 | 220-239 | +42 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 182 | 180-199 | -22 |
| September 18–25, 2026 | 204 | 200-219 | -23 |
| September 15–22, 2026 | 227 | 220-239 | +20 |
| September 11–18, 2026 | 207 | 200-219 | +17 |
| September 8–15, 2026 | 190 | 180-199 | +11 |
| September 4–11, 2026 | 179 | 160-179 | -34 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 213 | 200-219 | -15 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 228 | 220-239 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of September 25, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 224 tweets from September 25 – October 2, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 25 – October 2, 2026?
The 220-239 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 224 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.