Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 395 tweets from October 27 – November 3, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 380-399 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.992 (99.2¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 395 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 380-399 |
| Final YES price | $0.992 |
| Max page lag | 19 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 335 · high 395 · low 212 · +3 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 27 – November 3, 2026 this market | 395 | 380-399 | +3 |
| October 23–30, 2026 | 392 | 380-399 | +53 |
| October 20–27, 2026 | 339 | 320-339 | +60 |
| October 16–23, 2026 | 279 | 260-279 | -58 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 337 | 320-339 | -14 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 351 | 340-359 | -20 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 371 | 360-379 | +36 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 335 | 320-339 | +123 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 212 | 200-219 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of October 27, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 395 tweets from October 27 – November 3, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 27 – November 3, 2026?
The 380-399 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.992 (99.2¢ implied), and the settlement count of 395 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.