Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 270 tweets from July 24–31, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 270 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 260-279 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 6 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 197 · high 281 · low 123 · -11 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 24–31, 2026 this market | 270 | 260-279 | -11 |
| July 21–28, 2026 | 281 | 280-299 | +74 |
| July 17–24, 2026 | 207 | 200-219 | +49 |
| July 14–21, 2026 | 158 | 140-159 | -3 |
| July 10–17, 2026 | 161 | 160-179 | -35 |
| July 7–14, 2026 | 196 | 180-199 | +9 |
| July 3–10, 2026 | 187 | 180-199 | +64 |
| June 30 – July 7, 2026 | 123 | 120-139 | -66 |
| June 26 – July 3, 2026 | 189 | 180-199 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of July 24, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 270 tweets from July 24–31, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for July 24–31, 2026?
The 260-279 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 270 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.