Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · weekly
Elon Musk posted 281 tweets from July 21–28, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 280-299 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 281 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 280-299 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 7 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 196 · high 281 · low 123 · +74 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 21–28, 2026 this market | 281 | 280-299 | +74 |
| July 17–24, 2026 | 207 | 200-219 | +49 |
| July 14–21, 2026 | 158 | 140-159 | -3 |
| July 10–17, 2026 | 161 | 160-179 | -35 |
| July 7–14, 2026 | 196 | 180-199 | +9 |
| July 3–10, 2026 | 187 | 180-199 | +64 |
| June 30 – July 7, 2026 | 123 | 120-139 | -66 |
| June 26 – July 3, 2026 | 189 | 180-199 | -69 |
| June 23–30, 2026 | 258 | 240-259 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of July 21, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 281 tweets from July 21–28, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for July 21–28, 2026?
The 280-299 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 281 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.