Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 159 tweets from October 29–31, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 140-164 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 159 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 140-164 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 24 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 93 · high 159 · low 54 · +54 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 29–31, 2026 this market | 159 | 140-164 | +54 |
| October 26–28, 2026 | 105 | 90-114 | +21 |
| October 24–26, 2026 | 84 | 65-89 | -7 |
| October 22–24, 2026 | 91 | 90-114 | +15 |
| October 19–21, 2026 | 76 | 65-89 | +14 |
| October 17–19, 2026 | 62 | 40-64 | -52 |
| October 15–17, 2026 | 114 | 90-114 | +19 |
| October 12–14, 2026 | 95 | 90-114 | +41 |
| October 10–12, 2026 | 54 | 40-64 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from October 29–31, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 159 tweets from October 29–31, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 29–31, 2026?
The 140-164 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 159 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.