Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 76 tweets from October 19–21, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.998 (99.8¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 76 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 65-89 |
| Final YES price | $0.998 |
| Max page lag | 12 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 79 · high 114 · low 54 · +14 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 19–21, 2026 this market | 76 | 65-89 | +14 |
| October 17–19, 2026 | 62 | 40-64 | -52 |
| October 15–17, 2026 | 114 | 90-114 | +19 |
| October 12–14, 2026 | 95 | 90-114 | +41 |
| October 10–12, 2026 | 54 | 40-64 | -55 |
| October 8–10, 2026 | 109 | 90-114 | +50 |
| October 5–7, 2026 | 59 | 40-64 | -13 |
| October 3–5, 2026 | 72 | 65-89 | -1 |
| October 1–3, 2026 | 73 | 65-89 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from October 19–21, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 76 tweets from October 19–21, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 19–21, 2026?
The 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.998 (99.8¢ implied), and the settlement count of 76 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.