Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 39 tweets from March 2–4, 2026.

Q: How many tweets did Elon Musk post from March 2–4, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 39 tweets from March 2–4, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Q: Which Polymarket bucket won for March 2–4, 2026?

The <40 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.914 (91.4¢ implied), and the settlement count of 39 falls inside that range.

Q: How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

On Polymarket, the <40 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.914 (91.4¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

March 2–4, 2026 2-day window

Settlement count39 tweets

Winning bucket <40

Final YES price $0.914

Peak UI lag —

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 39 tweets from March 2–4, 2026. On Polymarket, the <40 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.914 (91.4¢ implied probability).

Settlement count
(tweets)

<40

Winning
bucket

91.4¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

Average over
these 9

122

Highest
in window

Lowest
in window

-13

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
March 2–4, 2026 this market	39	<40	-13
February 28 – March 2, 2026	52	40-64	+3
February 26–28, 2026	49	40-64	-32
February 23–25, 2026	81	65-89	-2
February 21–23, 2026	83	65-89	-39
February 19–21, 2026	122	115-139	+16
February 16–18, 2026	106	90-114	+28
February 14–16, 2026	78	65-89	+28
February 12–14, 2026	50	40-64	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from March 2–4, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 39 tweets from March 2–4, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for March 2–4, 2026?

The <40 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.914 (91.4¢ implied), and the settlement count of 39 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.