Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 32 tweets from July 18–20, 2026.

Q: How many tweets did Elon Musk post from July 18–20, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 32 tweets from July 18–20, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Q: Which Polymarket bucket won for July 18–20, 2026?

The <40 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.996 (99.6¢ implied), and the settlement count of 32 falls inside that range.

Q: How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

On Polymarket, the <40 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.996 (99.6¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

July 18–20, 2026 2-day window

Settlement count32 tweets

Winning bucket <40

Final YES price $0.996

Peak UI lag 0

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 32 tweets from July 18–20, 2026. On Polymarket, the <40 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.996 (99.6¢ implied probability).

Settlement count
(tweets)

<40

Winning
bucket

99.6¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

Average over
these 9

Highest
in window

Lowest
in window

-21

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
July 18–20, 2026 this market	32	<40	-21
July 16–18, 2026	53	40-64	-2
July 13–15, 2026	55	40-64	+29
July 11–13, 2026	26	<40	-50
July 9–11, 2026	76	65-89	+41
July 6–8, 2026	35	<40	-1
July 4–6, 2026	36	<40	+14
July 2–4, 2026	22	<40	-41
June 29 – July 1, 2026	63	40-64	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from July 18–20, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 32 tweets from July 18–20, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for July 18–20, 2026?

The <40 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.996 (99.6¢ implied), and the settlement count of 32 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.