Resolved Polymarket market · Donald Trump · weekly
Donald Trump posted 681 posts from October 27 – November 3, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 200+ posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $1.000 (100.0¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 681 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 200+ |
| Final YES price | $1.000 |
| Max page lag | 416 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 250 · high 681 · low 120 · +473 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 27 – November 3, 2026 this market | 681 | 200+ | +473 |
| October 23–30, 2026 | 208 | 200+ | -62 |
| October 20–27, 2026 | 270 | 200+ | -27 |
| October 16–23, 2026 | 297 | 200+ | +89 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 208 | 200+ | +38 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 170 | 160-179 | +50 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 120 | 120-139 | -12 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 132 | 120-139 | -29 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 161 | 160-179 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Donald Trump post the week of October 27, 2026?
Donald Trump posted 681 posts from October 27 – November 3, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 27 – November 3, 2026?
The 200+ posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $1.000 (100.0¢ implied), and the settlement count of 681 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Donald Trump's posts?
We poll Truth Social every 15 seconds (about every 5 minutes when Truth Social blocks our fast reader) for @realDonaldTrump and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: truths (main-feed posts), quote truths, retruths (reposts) count; replies don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.