POLYSTRIKE

Resolved Polymarket markets

Polymarket tweet-count market history

Every resolved window we tracked: the final count, the bucket that won, and the largest gap we recorded between our count and Polymarket's page.

WindowAccountFinal countWinning bucketMax page lag
November 3–10, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump8180-997
October 30 – November 6, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump605200+403
October 27 – November 3, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump681200+416
October 23–30, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump208200+34
October 20–27, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump270200+54
October 16–23, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump297200+78
October 13–20, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump208200+22
October 9–16, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump170160-17913
October 6–13, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump120120-13913
October 2–9, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump132120-13910
September 29 – October 6, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump161160-17910
September 25 – October 2, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump192180-1999
September 22–29, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump176160-179-1
September 15–22, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump9680-992
September 11–18, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump9380-997
September 8–15, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump109100-11913
September 4–11, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump177160-17915
September 1–8, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump189180-19917
August 28 – September 4, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump180180-19932
August 25 – September 1, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump230200+27
August 21–28, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump277200+25
August 18–25, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump244200+22
August 14–21, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump223200+161
August 11–18, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump229200+88
August 7–14, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump184180-19926
August 4–11, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump191180-19918
July 31 – August 7, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump230200+23
July 24–31, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump162160-179139
July 21–28, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump183180-199120
July 17–24, 2026 weeklyDonald Trump128120-1390

Final count: the count the market resolved on; it falls inside the winning bucket. Max page lag: how far Polymarket's page trailed our count at its worst; red means 20 or more, "—" means we didn't record it. Latest window closed 2026-11-11. Data as of 2026-11-12; windows that closed after that date are not listed yet.