Resolved Polymarket market · Donald Trump · weekly
Donald Trump posted 192 posts from September 25 – October 2, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 180-199 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.988 (98.8¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 192 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 180-199 |
| Final YES price | $0.988 |
| Max page lag | 9 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 160 · high 230 · low 93 · +16 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 this market | 192 | 180-199 | +16 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 176 | 160-179 | +80 |
| September 15–22, 2026 | 96 | 80-99 | +3 |
| September 11–18, 2026 | 93 | 80-99 | -16 |
| September 8–15, 2026 | 109 | 100-119 | -68 |
| September 4–11, 2026 | 177 | 160-179 | -12 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 189 | 180-199 | +9 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 180 | 180-199 | -50 |
| August 25 – September 1, 2026 | 230 | 200+ | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Donald Trump post the week of September 25, 2026?
Donald Trump posted 192 posts from September 25 – October 2, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 25 – October 2, 2026?
The 180-199 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.988 (98.8¢ implied), and the settlement count of 192 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Donald Trump's posts?
We poll Truth Social every 15 seconds (about every 5 minutes when Truth Social blocks our fast reader) for @realDonaldTrump and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: truths (main-feed posts), quote truths, retruths (reposts) count; replies don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.