Resolved Polymarket market · Donald Trump · weekly
Donald Trump posted 93 posts from September 11–18, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 80-99 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.792 (79.2¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 93 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 80-99 |
| Final YES price | $0.792 |
| Our own count | 77 posts |
| Max page lag | 7 |
| Window | 7 days |
Our own count logged 77 posts, a few below the settlement total. Gaps this small come from snapshot timing or from posts deleted before XTracker read them. The headline number matches the resolved bucket.
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 191 · high 277 · low 93 · -16 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 11–18, 2026 this market | 93 | 80-99 | -16 |
| September 8–15, 2026 | 109 | 100-119 | -68 |
| September 4–11, 2026 | 177 | 160-179 | -12 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 189 | 180-199 | +9 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 180 | 180-199 | -50 |
| August 25 – September 1, 2026 | 230 | 200+ | -47 |
| August 21–28, 2026 | 277 | 200+ | +33 |
| August 18–25, 2026 | 244 | 200+ | +21 |
| August 14–21, 2026 | 223 | 200+ | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Donald Trump post the week of September 11, 2026?
Donald Trump posted 93 posts from September 11–18, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 11–18, 2026?
The 80-99 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.792 (79.2¢ implied), and the settlement count of 93 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Donald Trump's posts?
We poll Truth Social every 15 seconds (about every 5 minutes when Truth Social blocks our fast reader) for @realDonaldTrump and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: truths (main-feed posts), quote truths, retruths (reposts) count; replies don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.