Resolved Polymarket market · Donald Trump · weekly
Donald Trump posted 297 posts from October 16–23, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 200+ posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $1.000 (100.0¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 297 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 200+ |
| Final YES price | $1.000 |
| Max page lag | 78 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 172 · high 297 · low 96 · +89 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 16–23, 2026 this market | 297 | 200+ | +89 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 208 | 200+ | +38 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 170 | 160-179 | +50 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 120 | 120-139 | -12 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 132 | 120-139 | -29 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 161 | 160-179 | -31 |
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 | 192 | 180-199 | +16 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 176 | 160-179 | +80 |
| September 15–22, 2026 | 96 | 80-99 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Donald Trump post the week of October 16, 2026?
Donald Trump posted 297 posts from October 16–23, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 16–23, 2026?
The 200+ posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $1.000 (100.0¢ implied), and the settlement count of 297 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Donald Trump's posts?
We poll Truth Social every 15 seconds (about every 5 minutes when Truth Social blocks our fast reader) for @realDonaldTrump and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: truths (main-feed posts), quote truths, retruths (reposts) count; replies don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.