Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · monthly
Elon Musk posted 878 tweets in September 2026.
On Polymarket, the 840-879 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.997 (99.7¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 878 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 840-879 |
| Final YES price | $0.997 |
| Max page lag | 18 |
| Window | 30 days |
Count vs the prior 7 months
Average 1013 · high 1329 · low 838 · -4 vs the previous month
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 this market | 878 | 840-879 | -4 |
| August 2026 | 882 | 880-919 | -12 |
| July 2026 | 894 | 880-919 | -80 |
| June 2026 | 974 | 960-999 | +136 |
| May 2026 | 838 | 800-839 | -222 |
| April 2026 | 1060 | 1040-1079 | -269 |
| March 2026 | 1329 | 1320-1359 | +79 |
| February 2026 | 1250 | — | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post in September 2026?
Elon Musk posted 878 tweets in September 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 2026?
The 840-879 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.997 (99.7¢ implied), and the settlement count of 878 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.