Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 47 tweets from May 11–13, 2026.

Q: How many tweets did Elon Musk post from May 11–13, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 47 tweets from May 11–13, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Q: Which Polymarket bucket won for May 11–13, 2026?

The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 47 falls inside that range.

Q: How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

May 11–13, 2026 2-day window

Settlement count47 tweets

Winning bucket 40-64

Final YES price $0.999

Peak UI lag 3

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 47 tweets from May 11–13, 2026. On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).

Settlement count
(tweets)

40-64

Winning
bucket

99.9¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

Average over
these 9

Highest
in window

Lowest
in window

+20

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
May 11–13, 2026 this market	47	40-64	+20
May 9–11, 2026	27	<40	-10
May 7–9, 2026	37	<40	+3
May 4–6, 2026	34	<40	-21
May 2–4, 2026	55	40-64	+5
April 30 – May 2, 2026	50	40-64	-9
April 27–29, 2026	59	40-64	+19
April 25–27, 2026	40	40-64	-40
April 23–25, 2026	80	65-89	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from May 11–13, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 47 tweets from May 11–13, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for May 11–13, 2026?

The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 47 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.