Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 80 tweets from April 23–25, 2026.

On Polymarket, the 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

April 23–25, 2026 2-day window

Settlement count80 tweets

Winning bucket 65-89

Final YES price $0.999

Peak UI lag 6

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 80 tweets from April 23–25, 2026. On Polymarket, the 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).

Settlement count
(tweets)

65-89

Winning
bucket

99.9¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

Average over
these 9

135

Highest
in window

Lowest
in window

+20

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
April 23–25, 2026 this market	80	65-89	+20
April 20–22, 2026	60	40-64	+14
April 18–20, 2026	46	40-64	-30
April 16–18, 2026	76	65-89	+7
April 13–15, 2026	69	65-89	-66
April 11–13, 2026	135	115-139	+68
April 9–11, 2026	67	65-89	-14
April 6–8, 2026	81	65-89	+15
April 4–6, 2026	66	65-89	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from April 23–25, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 80 tweets from April 23–25, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for April 23–25, 2026?

The 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 80 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.