Resolved Polymarket market · Ted Cruz · weekly
Ted Cruz posted 158 posts from October 20–27, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 140-159 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.605 (60.5¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 158 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 140-159 |
| Final YES price | $0.605 |
| Max page lag | 14 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 135 · high 169 · low 92 · -11 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 20–27, 2026 this market | 158 | 140-159 | -11 |
| October 16–23, 2026 | 169 | 160-179 | +10 |
| October 13–20, 2026 | 159 | 140-159 | +21 |
| October 9–16, 2026 | 138 | 120-139 | -13 |
| October 6–13, 2026 | 151 | 140-159 | +10 |
| October 2–9, 2026 | 141 | 140-159 | +28 |
| September 29 – October 6, 2026 | 113 | 100-119 | +21 |
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 | 92 | 80-99 | -3 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 95 | 80-99 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Ted Cruz post the week of October 20, 2026?
Ted Cruz posted 158 posts from October 20–27, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 20–27, 2026?
The 140-159 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.605 (60.5¢ implied), and the settlement count of 158 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Ted Cruz's posts?
We poll X every 5 seconds for @tedcruz and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.