Resolved Polymarket market · Ted Cruz · weekly
Ted Cruz posted 92 posts from September 25 – October 2, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 80-99 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.666 (66.6¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 92 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 80-99 |
| Final YES price | $0.666 |
| Max page lag | 7 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 115 · high 147 · low 92 · -3 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 – October 2, 2026 this market | 92 | 80-99 | -3 |
| September 22–29, 2026 | 95 | 80-99 | -21 |
| September 18–25, 2026 | 116 | 100-119 | +15 |
| September 15–22, 2026 | 101 | 100-119 | +5 |
| September 11–18, 2026 | 96 | 80-99 | -37 |
| September 8–15, 2026 | 133 | 120-139 | +8 |
| September 4–11, 2026 | 125 | 120-139 | -2 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 127 | 120-139 | -20 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 147 | 140-159 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Ted Cruz post the week of September 25, 2026?
Ted Cruz posted 92 posts from September 25 – October 2, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 25 – October 2, 2026?
The 80-99 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.666 (66.6¢ implied), and the settlement count of 92 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Ted Cruz's posts?
We poll X every 5 seconds for @tedcruz and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.