Resolved Polymarket market · Ted Cruz · weekly
Ted Cruz posted 125 posts from September 4–11, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 120-139 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.994 (99.4¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 125 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 120-139 |
| Final YES price | $0.994 |
| Max page lag | 12 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 154 · high 175 · low 125 · -2 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 4–11, 2026 this market | 125 | 120-139 | -2 |
| September 1–8, 2026 | 127 | 120-139 | -20 |
| August 28 – September 4, 2026 | 147 | 140-159 | -22 |
| August 25 – September 1, 2026 | 169 | 160-179 | -6 |
| August 21–28, 2026 | 175 | 160-179 | +19 |
| August 18–25, 2026 | 156 | 140-159 | 0 |
| August 14–21, 2026 | 156 | 140-159 | -14 |
| August 11–18, 2026 | 170 | 160-179 | +5 |
| August 7–14, 2026 | 165 | 160-179 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Ted Cruz post the week of September 4, 2026?
Ted Cruz posted 125 posts from September 4–11, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 4–11, 2026?
The 120-139 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.994 (99.4¢ implied), and the settlement count of 125 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Ted Cruz's posts?
We poll X every 5 seconds for @tedcruz and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.