Resolved Polymarket market · Ted Cruz · weekly
Ted Cruz posted 156 posts from August 14–21, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 140-159 posts bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.635 (63.5¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 156 posts |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 140-159 |
| Final YES price | $0.635 |
| Max page lag | 7 |
| Window | 7 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 139 · high 170 · low 93 · -14 vs the previous window
| Window | Posts | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 14–21, 2026 this market | 156 | 140-159 | -14 |
| August 11–18, 2026 | 170 | 160-179 | +5 |
| August 7–14, 2026 | 165 | 160-179 | +3 |
| August 4–11, 2026 | 162 | 160-179 | +21 |
| July 31 – August 7, 2026 | 141 | 140-159 | +10 |
| July 28 – August 4, 2026 | 131 | 120-139 | +3 |
| July 24–31, 2026 | 128 | 120-139 | +35 |
| July 21–28, 2026 | 93 | 80-99 | -14 |
| July 17–24, 2026 | 107 | 100-119 | — |
Weekly markets overlap, so these are successive windows, not calendar weeks.
FAQ
How many posts did Ted Cruz post the week of August 14, 2026?
Ted Cruz posted 156 posts from August 14–21, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for August 14–21, 2026?
The 140-159 posts bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.635 (63.5¢ implied), and the settlement count of 156 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Ted Cruz's posts?
We poll X every 5 seconds for @tedcruz and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.