Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 94 tweets from October 31 – November 2, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 94 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 90-114 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 10 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 98 · high 159 · low 62 · -65 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 – November 2, 2026 this market | 94 | 90-114 | -65 |
| October 29–31, 2026 | 159 | 140-164 | +54 |
| October 26–28, 2026 | 105 | 90-114 | +21 |
| October 24–26, 2026 | 84 | 65-89 | -7 |
| October 22–24, 2026 | 91 | 90-114 | +15 |
| October 19–21, 2026 | 76 | 65-89 | +14 |
| October 17–19, 2026 | 62 | 40-64 | -52 |
| October 15–17, 2026 | 114 | 90-114 | +19 |
| October 12–14, 2026 | 95 | 90-114 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from October 31 – November 2, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 94 tweets from October 31 – November 2, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for October 31 – November 2, 2026?
The 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 94 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.