Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 7-day window

Elon Musk posted 236 tweets from May 12–19, 2026.

On Polymarket, the 220-239 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

May 12–19, 2026 7-day window

236

Settlement count236 tweets

Winning bucket 220-239

Final YES price $0.999

Peak UI lag 31

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 236 tweets from May 12–19, 2026. On Polymarket, the 220-239 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).

236

Settlement count
(tweets)

220-239

Winning
bucket

99.9¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

182

Average over
these 9

236

Highest
in window

115

Lowest
in window

+89

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
May 12–19, 2026 this market	236	220-239	+89
May 8–15, 2026	147	140-159	+32
May 5–12, 2026	115	100-119	-49
May 1–8, 2026	164	160-179	+5
April 28 – May 5, 2026	159	140-159	-34
April 24 – May 1, 2026	193	180-199	-35
April 21–28, 2026	228	220-239	+24
April 17–24, 2026	204	200-219	+8
April 14–21, 2026	196	—	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). 7-day markets overlap, so these are successive windows rather than disjoint calendar weeks. Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post the week of May 12, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 236 tweets from May 12–19, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for May 12–19, 2026?

The 220-239 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 236 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.