Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 81 tweets from July 30 – August 1, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 81 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 65-89 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 6 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 63 · high 112 · low 26 · +16 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 30 – August 1, 2026 this market | 81 | 65-89 | +16 |
| July 27–29, 2026 | 65 | 65-89 | +6 |
| July 25–27, 2026 | 59 | 40-64 | -53 |
| July 23–25, 2026 | 112 | 90-114 | +31 |
| July 20–22, 2026 | 81 | 65-89 | +49 |
| July 18–20, 2026 | 32 | <40 | -21 |
| July 16–18, 2026 | 53 | 40-64 | -2 |
| July 13–15, 2026 | 55 | 40-64 | +29 |
| July 11–13, 2026 | 26 | <40 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from July 30 – August 1, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 81 tweets from July 30 – August 1, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for July 30 – August 1, 2026?
The 65-89 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 81 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.