Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 112 tweets from July 23–25, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.953 (95.3¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 112 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 90-114 |
| Final YES price | $0.953 |
| Max page lag | 5 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 56 · high 112 · low 26 · +31 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 23–25, 2026 this market | 112 | 90-114 | +31 |
| July 20–22, 2026 | 81 | 65-89 | +49 |
| July 18–20, 2026 | 32 | <40 | -21 |
| July 16–18, 2026 | 53 | 40-64 | -2 |
| July 13–15, 2026 | 55 | 40-64 | +29 |
| July 11–13, 2026 | 26 | <40 | -50 |
| July 9–11, 2026 | 76 | 65-89 | +41 |
| July 6–8, 2026 | 35 | <40 | -1 |
| July 4–6, 2026 | 36 | <40 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from July 23–25, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 112 tweets from July 23–25, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for July 23–25, 2026?
The 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.953 (95.3¢ implied), and the settlement count of 112 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.