Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 59 tweets from July 25–27, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.997 (99.7¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 59 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 40-64 |
| Final YES price | $0.997 |
| Max page lag | 3 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 59 · high 112 · low 26 · -53 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 25–27, 2026 this market | 59 | 40-64 | -53 |
| July 23–25, 2026 | 112 | 90-114 | +31 |
| July 20–22, 2026 | 81 | 65-89 | +49 |
| July 18–20, 2026 | 32 | <40 | -21 |
| July 16–18, 2026 | 53 | 40-64 | -2 |
| July 13–15, 2026 | 55 | 40-64 | +29 |
| July 11–13, 2026 | 26 | <40 | -50 |
| July 9–11, 2026 | 76 | 65-89 | +41 |
| July 6–8, 2026 | 35 | <40 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from July 25–27, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 59 tweets from July 25–27, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for July 25–27, 2026?
The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.997 (99.7¢ implied), and the settlement count of 59 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.