Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 56 tweets from September 28–30, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 56 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 40-64 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 6 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 59 · high 76 · low 48 · -6 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 28–30, 2026 this market | 56 | 40-64 | -6 |
| September 26–28, 2026 | 62 | 40-64 | +11 |
| September 24–26, 2026 | 51 | 40-64 | -25 |
| September 21–23, 2026 | 76 | 65-89 | +24 |
| September 19–21, 2026 | 52 | 40-64 | -10 |
| September 17–19, 2026 | 62 | 40-64 | +1 |
| September 14–16, 2026 | 61 | 40-64 | -2 |
| September 12–14, 2026 | 63 | 40-64 | +15 |
| September 10–12, 2026 | 48 | 40-64 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from September 28–30, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 56 tweets from September 28–30, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 28–30, 2026?
The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 56 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.