Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 61 tweets from September 14–16, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.998 (99.8¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 61 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 40-64 |
| Final YES price | $0.998 |
| Max page lag | 5 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 56 · high 77 · low 27 · -2 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 14–16, 2026 this market | 61 | 40-64 | -2 |
| September 12–14, 2026 | 63 | 40-64 | +15 |
| September 10–12, 2026 | 48 | 40-64 | -9 |
| September 7–9, 2026 | 57 | 40-64 | +30 |
| September 5–7, 2026 | 27 | <40 | -50 |
| September 3–5, 2026 | 77 | 65-89 | +20 |
| August 31 – September 2, 2026 | 57 | 40-64 | -1 |
| August 29–31, 2026 | 58 | 40-64 | +5 |
| August 27–29, 2026 | 53 | 40-64 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from September 14–16, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 61 tweets from September 14–16, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for September 14–16, 2026?
The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.998 (99.8¢ implied), and the settlement count of 61 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.