Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day
Elon Musk posted 57 tweets from August 31 – September 2, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).
The market resolution
| Final count | 57 tweets |
|---|---|
| Winning bucket | 40-64 |
| Final YES price | $0.999 |
| Max page lag | 5 |
| Window | 2 days |
Count vs the prior 8 windows
Average 61 · high 96 · low 34 · -1 vs the previous window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 – September 2, 2026 this market | 57 | 40-64 | -1 |
| August 29–31, 2026 | 58 | 40-64 | +5 |
| August 27–29, 2026 | 53 | 40-64 | -5 |
| August 24–26, 2026 | 58 | 40-64 | +14 |
| August 22–24, 2026 | 44 | 40-64 | -52 |
| August 20–22, 2026 | 96 | 90-114 | +3 |
| August 17–19, 2026 | 93 | 90-114 | +59 |
| August 15–17, 2026 | 34 | <40 | -23 |
| August 13–15, 2026 | 57 | 40-64 | — |
FAQ
How many tweets did Elon Musk post from August 31 – September 2, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 57 tweets from August 31 – September 2, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for August 31 – September 2, 2026?
The 40-64 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 57 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
We poll X every second for @elonmusk and tally qualifying posts as they land, using the market's settlement rules: main-feed posts, quote posts, reposts, main-feed replies count; in-thread replies and community reposts don't. The headline number matches the bucket the market resolved to; where our own tally differed, both figures are shown above.