Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 116 tweets from March 9–11, 2026.

Q: How many tweets did Elon Musk post from March 9–11, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 116 tweets from March 9–11, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Q: Which Polymarket bucket won for March 9–11, 2026?

The 115-139 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 116 falls inside that range.

Q: How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

On Polymarket, the 115-139 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

Live Elon Musk counter → All resolved markets

March 9–11, 2026 2-day window

116

Settlement count116 tweets

Winning bucket 115-139

Final YES price $0.999

Peak UI lag 96

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 116 tweets from March 9–11, 2026. On Polymarket, the 115-139 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).

116

Settlement count
(tweets)

115-139

Winning
bucket

99.9¢

Final implied
probability

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND

Average over
these 9

116

Highest
in window

Lowest
in window

+76

vs previous
window

Window	Tweets	Winning bucket	vs prior
March 9–11, 2026 this market	116	115-139	+76
March 10–11, 2026	40	40-49	-60
March 7–9, 2026	100	90-114	0
March 5–7, 2026	100	90-114	+61
March 2–4, 2026	39	<40	-13
February 28 – March 2, 2026	52	40-64	+3
February 26–28, 2026	49	40-64	-32
February 23–25, 2026	81	65-89	-2
February 21–23, 2026	83	65-89	—

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from March 9–11, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 116 tweets from March 9–11, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for March 9–11, 2026?

The 115-139 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 116 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.