Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window
Elon Musk posted 152 tweets from February 9–11, 2026.
On Polymarket, the 140-164 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.928 (92.8¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.
Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript
The market resolution
FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YESElon Musk posted 152 tweets from February 9–11, 2026. On Polymarket, the 140-164 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.928 (92.8¢ implied probability). Polystrike's independent live counter logged 165 tweets during the window — a few posts higher than the settlement total, because posts deleted inside the window drop out of the official count after ~5 minutes. The headline figure matches the resolved bucket.
Settlement count
(tweets)
Winning
bucket
Final implied
probability
Days in
the window
Count vs the prior 0 windows
FIG. 02 — TRENDAverage over
these 1
Highest
in window
Lowest
in window
vs previous
window
| Window | Tweets | Winning bucket | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 9–11, 2026 this market | 152 | 140-164 | — |
Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.
FAQ
FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMAHow many tweets did Elon Musk post from February 9–11, 2026?
Elon Musk posted 152 tweets from February 9–11, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.
Which Polymarket bucket won for February 9–11, 2026?
The 140-164 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.928 (92.8¢ implied), and the settlement count of 152 falls inside that range.
How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?
Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.
Keep reading
RELATEDWatch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.