POLYSTRIKE

Resolved Polymarket market · Elon Musk · 2-day window

Elon Musk posted 110 tweets from March 12–14, 2026.

On Polymarket, the 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability). Below: how that count compares with prior windows, the full settlement method, and the numbers behind the resolution.

March 12–14, 2026 2-day window
110
Settlement count110 tweets
Winning bucket 90-114
Final YES price $0.999
Peak UI lag 7

Server-rendered facts — the count is in the HTML, not just JavaScript

The market resolution

FIG. 01 — RESOLVED YES

Elon Musk posted 110 tweets from March 12–14, 2026. On Polymarket, the 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES at a final price of $0.999 (99.9¢ implied probability).

110

Settlement count
(tweets)

90-114

Winning
bucket

99.9¢

Final implied
probability

2

Days in
the window

Count vs the prior 8 windows

FIG. 02 — TREND
76

Average over
these 9

116

Highest
in window

39

Lowest
in window

-6

vs previous
window

WindowTweetsWinning bucketvs prior
March 12–14, 2026 this market11090-114-6
March 9–11, 2026116115-139+76
March 10–11, 20264040-49-60
March 7–9, 202610090-1140
March 5–7, 202610090-114+61
March 2–4, 202639<40-13
February 28 – March 2, 20265240-64+3
February 26–28, 20264940-64-32
February 23–25, 20268165-89

Each row is a distinct Polymarket Elon Musk market; counts are the figure each market resolved to (settlement count where graded, our measured count otherwise). Rows link to their own permalink. See every resolved market on the tweet market history page.

FAQ

FIG. 03 — FAQPAGE SCHEMA

How many tweets did Elon Musk post from March 12–14, 2026?

Elon Musk posted 110 tweets from March 12–14, 2026. That is the count Polystrike recorded over the exact window this Polymarket market covered, using the market's own settlement rules.

Which Polymarket bucket won for March 12–14, 2026?

The 90-114 tweets bucket resolved YES. Its final price was $0.999 (99.9¢ implied), and the settlement count of 110 falls inside that range.

How does Polystrike count Elon Musk's tweets?

Our counter polls X continuously and tallies qualifying posts — main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts — against Polymarket's settlement rules. The headline number matches the bucket the market actually resolved to; where our independent live tally differs, both figures are shown in the numbers panel above.

Keep reading

RELATED

Watch the current window on the live Elon Musk counter, compare every resolved market in the tweet market history, or pull the raw numbers from the free API. Methodology: how the count and the XTracker oracle differ.